Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#128
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#141
Pace64.1#258
Improvement+1.7#93

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#162
Improvement+3.4#36

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#106
Improvement-1.7#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 304   Hartford W 70-55 92%     1 - 0 +2.0 -10.6 +11.8
  Nov 14, 2011 313   Radford W 62-46 94%     2 - 0 +1.4 -4.7 +8.6
  Nov 16, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn W 77-68 70%     3 - 0 +6.0 +1.9 +4.5
  Nov 19, 2011 1   Kentucky L 47-85 5%     3 - 1 -17.1 -14.6 -4.1
  Nov 20, 2011 55   South Florida W 53-49 30%     4 - 1 +12.1 -1.9 +14.7
  Nov 23, 2011 169   Youngstown St. W 82-71 72%     5 - 1 +7.4 +3.5 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2011 62   @ Saint Joseph's L 47-65 21%     5 - 2 -7.0 -23.3 +16.6
  Nov 30, 2011 252   @ Boston College W 62-54 67%     6 - 2 +6.0 -7.0 +13.4
  Dec 04, 2011 84   Mississippi L 70-72 50%     6 - 3 +0.5 +2.7 -2.2
  Dec 07, 2011 239   Lafayette L 57-61 84%     6 - 4 -11.9 -18.6 +6.3
  Dec 10, 2011 114   Duquesne L 59-66 46%     6 - 5 -3.3 -14.4 +11.2
  Dec 18, 2011 298   Mount St. Mary's W 72-43 91%     7 - 5 +17.0 +3.9 +16.7
  Dec 21, 2011 204   Cornell W 74-67 78%     8 - 5 +1.6 +1.6 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2011 23   @ Michigan L 53-71 11%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -2.1 -6.9 +2.5
  Jan 01, 2012 58   @ Northwestern L 56-68 20%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -0.7 -9.1 +7.0
  Jan 05, 2012 30   Purdue W 65-45 31%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +27.6 +4.2 +27.1
  Jan 08, 2012 8   Indiana L 82-88 19%     9 - 8 1 - 3 +5.9 +8.2 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2012 142   @ Nebraska L 58-70 39%     9 - 9 1 - 4 -6.6 -10.5 +3.5
  Jan 15, 2012 56   Minnesota L 66-80 42%     9 - 10 1 - 5 -9.3 -5.2 -3.9
  Jan 19, 2012 77   Illinois W 54-52 48%     10 - 10 2 - 5 +5.2 -4.1 +9.7
  Jan 22, 2012 8   @ Indiana L 54-73 7%     10 - 11 2 - 6 -0.3 -2.8 -1.2
  Jan 25, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. L 54-78 4%     10 - 12 2 - 7 -0.6 -8.8 +8.6
  Jan 31, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 46-52 20%     10 - 13 2 - 8 +5.3 -7.5 +11.2
  Feb 04, 2012 91   @ Iowa L 64-77 27%     10 - 14 2 - 9 -4.2 -8.3 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. L 57-77 4%     10 - 15 2 - 10 +2.8 -1.6 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2012 142   Nebraska W 67-51 65%     11 - 15 3 - 10 +14.6 +5.3 +12.2
  Feb 16, 2012 91   Iowa W 69-64 52%     12 - 15 4 - 10 +7.0 +0.8 +6.7
  Feb 19, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin L 55-65 8%     12 - 16 4 - 11 +8.1 +3.9 +2.2
  Feb 25, 2012 58   Northwestern L 66-67 43%     12 - 17 4 - 12 +3.5 +0.4 +3.0
  Feb 29, 2012 30   @ Purdue L 56-80 14%     12 - 18 4 - 13 -9.5 -5.3 -7.6
  Mar 04, 2012 23   Michigan L 65-71 27%     12 - 19 4 - 14 +3.1 +7.1 -5.1
  Mar 08, 2012 8   Indiana L 58-75 12%     12 - 20 -1.7 -7.1 +4.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%